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A statistic I have been quoting that is completely wrong…

A statistic I have been quoting that is completely wrong…

Time to Read:  Between 2 and 3 Minutes


A statistic I have been quoting that is completely wrong…

For the last few years, with great drama, excitement and a definition of ‘miracle’ thrown in, I have been sharing with people around the world the very unlikely chance of them being born:

1 in 400 trillion times (4×10 to the power of 14)

This is because the amount of available DNA so vastly outnumbers the number of actual people, that Scientist Richard Dawkins concludes the odds against you being born are so great that this event has no chance of happening.

No scientific chance whatsoever.

And yet, here you are.

The good news – you are a miracle.

Now the bad news, many experts now believe that 1 in 400 trillion figure is in fact wrong. So, maybe you are not a miracle at all

No, the new chances of you being on this planet and reading this are so vast the term miracle doesn’t begin to do them justice, because those odds of 400 trillion to 1 against don’t take into account the chances of your mum meeting your dad, that they stay together long enough to have kids, that 1 egg happened to meet that 1 sperm…

We are now up to 1 in 400 quadrillion – 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000

That is approximately the volume in cubic metres of the Atlantic Ocean

Hang on though – there is another factor at play here – namely that every one of your ancestors going back 4 billion years lived to an age where they could reproduce, and did reproduce…

Now we reach a staggering figure – 1 in 10 to the power of 2,685,000

That’s a 10 with 2,685,000 zeros after it

Think of it like this – It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. They each roll the dice, and they all come up with the exact same number-for example, 550,343,279,001. (Source: http://visual.ly/what-are-odds )

So, the odds that you exist are basically zero.

And yet, here you are

You may not believe in miracles – the big question is…do you believe in you? Comment below.

With my love and best wishes to you all

David
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Thank you for all your comments on previous weeks

8 Responses to A statistic I have been quoting that is completely wrong…

  1. I always lok at my kids and think they are miracles.
    It should be shouted from the rooftops that we are all unique and need to be who we were meant to be.

  2. Ah, yes, the miracle was definitely that my parents stayed together long enough to have me, so anything after that is a bonus 😉

  3. Not being good in numbers I thought I don’t deserve to comment but looking back I became a top producer in real estate, in mortgage, in insurance, and in financing. So instead of talking about the mathematics of it, how about saying that I happened because I was meant to be – period!I met my husband in another country while both teaching at the same University. It was meant to be.I made 3.4 million in one year for hard work – I made it and I can do it again if I decide on it.Statistics? I read some articles on it for entertainment only.

  4. I see no reference to God, only miracles. But what people are saying point directly to God. Funny how we dont want what we all agree is what we have…

  5. I found this very helpful David. This number is astoundingly large and I can barely comprehend the amount of time that has gone into calculating this figure.
    Love From Ellis

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